This article is not the result of paranoia, but merely a look into a possible scenario that could change the
general atmosphere following the 19th anniversary of the signing of the Oslo
Accords.
Who’s going to fall next? By falling
I literary mean assassinated. This week marks the 19th anniversary of
the signing of the Oslo Accords, an agreement that was thought of as having
ended decades of struggle between the Palestinians and their Colonizers (of
course it goes without saying that the agreement equated between both parties,
never treating the Palestinians as the oppressed, nor dealing with Israel as
the oppressor.)
What was different about this anniversary
is that almost two decades later the Palestinians suddenly became aware of how
destructive the agreement has been to their case (and it only happened when the
results of Oslo severely touched their livelihood). Prior to that most
Palestinians disregarded the agreement as one step towards their statehood, but
only this year did masses of Palestinians took off to the street demanding an
end to the Oslo Agreement; however, this time they specified which annexes they
were mostly angry about: the Paris Agreements.
The Paris agreements were a
number of agreements that accentuated the future economic relationship between
Israel and the Palestinians. Having already agreed to form a self-governing
body for the Palestinians, or Bantustanizing the situation in Palestine, the potential
Palestinian government also endorsed a plan that asserted the colonization of the economic reality between Israel and the Palestinians.
Yet on the 19th anniversary
of Oslo, the Palestinians found themselves dungeoned deep inside an ugly reality: an
oppressive Palestinian government that is highly armed, a police-run semi-state
that controlled most of the resources, a paper-castle of an economy that was
completely controlled by donor temperament on one side and Israel on the other, a low-income and probably one of
the highest costs of living anywhere in the world. Most Palestinians, including
the wealthy, felt poor. Salaries at the end of each month became the
only aspiration of any typical worker starting on the first of each month; other ugly
realities included an increase in population vs. an inability to grow out of
these Bantustans which left a huge mark on the Palestinian centers of “Semi-Governmental
Units” including cities and villages; an increase in prices of fuel, bread,
food, electricity, rent, the list goes on and on.
But then the demonstrations
stopped abruptly the way they started. The Palestinians were once again
observing to see what will happen next.
Israel has been observing what
will happen next.
The Donor nations (EU, USAID,
World Bank…etc) have been observing what will happen next.
Everyone, for years, has been
observing, merely moving a Pawn in a chess game one step to the front to keep
the game going.
On the eve of the first demonstration
that called for the downfall to the Fayyad-run government and Mahmoud Abbas,
the latest took the time to join the demonstration [online] claiming that “the
Palestinian Spring has begun!” also affirming that Palestine has one ruling
body (the Fatah-run PA), one President (himself) and one prime minister
(Fayyad)!
The Fatah-run Palestinian Authority suddenly sets a date for the local elections in the West Bank (an election which will be completely boycotted by Hamas and other factions under the conviction that such elections will further assert the Palestinian division). But Fatah is more than looking forward for such a move which will reinforce their dominance in the West Bank.
Prices went down a fraction, Diesel-fuel
down one shekel, and the VAT down one half (still up one half from its previous
value at 14.5%).
The streets in Palestine were
quiet again, cautiously observing.
But something enormous must/ will
happen because a pawn in a chess game cannot keep moving indefinitely.
In my opinion, the West including Israel,
has been quite keen on Hamas. Hamas is the adverse of the well-hated
Palestinian Authority, with very little history in mass-corruption. Hamas also
took hold of Gaza years before the Muslim Brotherhood (Ikhwan) in traditional
peace broker, Egypt, took power. It is likely that the West wants to see how
well Ikhwan will do in Egypt: if they succeed then there's no reason to keep
the utterly unloved PA in power, which is already creating reasons which are threatening the security of the rest of the
World and Israel (None is talking to Hamas which has been a big mistake, and everyone is in support of the a government that functions despite the Palestinians' full approval). I assume the West would rather try their luck with Hamas or perhaps something
completely new.
Donors have almost completely froze
their funding to the various PA-run institutes to the point where the PA made
it public that they are practically at the edge of going completely broke, this has demonstrated itself in the PA's inability to pay the Salaries of
almost one third of the working population, whom happened to be the working
bees of the Paper Castle created by the PA.
Yet everyone is still observing, waiting for
the other side to make a move.
Ultimately someone will.
Either the PA will make a genius
move that will completely shift the game back into their favor (this includes a
magical potion to instantly revitalize the Economy); or Israel will come
up with a sinister plan to root out the PA and have them replaced (perhaps they would suddenly start talking to Hamas out of the blue and when no one sees it coming).
In this last case, everyone in media all across the globe will bring out the dark and
unholy history of the Palestinian Authority: news will be all about their
corrupt 19 years going over their history one person at a time. The media will shed the
light on the suffering of the Palestinians under the PA rule, it will create a new face for their suffering and it will give it a name. The world will be sympathetic and in support of the dismantling of the PA. Perhaps then
the PA will be dismembered one person at a time as each person will be a target of systematic assassinations by Patriotic Palestinians (those who either do it out of
their own motivations or in support of a foreign agenda).
It will start from the top all
the way to the bottom. In this case, I can see Mahmoud Abbas to be the first to
fall, followed by the most burned-out Fayyad (perhaps the weakest link). Then the game
is on: it will sweep everything in its way: the media politicians and figures (Abed Rabbu), the
dumb religious Fatah figures (Habbash), perhaps even randomly all the way down
to the most insignificant of the Fatah enthusiasts.
List of related key terms to increase traffic into my blog <3 (Copied from BBC):
The team of the movie has been chosen on basis of interest in the project with limited stress on previous experience and an emphasis on giving a chance to first-timers, including the production team. We believe every aspiring artist deserves a starting point, those we were convinced may have an excellent potential are now part of our team. The music of the film also plays a central role in setting up the mood and experience. Some of the music scores in the film are the works of local artists; other major and international names in music have graciously agreed to take part in this film.
