Showing posts with label Oslo Accords. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Oslo Accords. Show all posts

Sunday, September 4, 2011

14th Day: Comparing PA Bantustans to Tel Aviv Alone

Numbers are interesting.

Ever since I made yesterday's calculations, I've been taken by an obsession with comparing the PA Territories with Tel Aviv.

If  the future Palestinian state was to be compared to Tel Aviv urban area only, we can come up with some very interesting results. Below are columns comparing Tel Aviv to PA Territories as I prefer to call them, which exclude the Gaza Strip. The calculations assume PA Territories [was] a city in its own right. 

What do we learn?

The West Bank, Green is
the PA Country/ Bantustans
The PA Territories which will be included in the Bantustanized-State is almost 0.59% the size of historical Palestine's size. The PA officials have long claimed that they "gave up 78% percent of historical Palestine for peace. The truth is, they gave nearly 99.49% of it for profit.

The PA Territories where the future [bantustanized] state will have a sort of governmental control or more accurately: visual control (because actual control will be left for Israel) is appx. comparable to Tel Aviv's Metro area alone in terms of both size and population, only 10% smaller

The best scenario which the PA can experience would be a complete Israeli withdrawal from Areas B in which case the PA state would be comparable to Tel Aviv's Urban Area, only 10% smaller. 

So far, the Palestinian population under direct and "full" Palestinian control (those living within Area A) does not seem to have a reliable statistics. 

It is now obvious there is not one single reliable source that provides a complete census of the population of the Palestinians whether in the West bank, Israel, Gaza Strip, and in East Jerusalem, nor Jewish population in those areas (Major discrimination were found between various sources that ranged from few hundreds up to a million and more.). Nor does there seem to be a source that gave a single unified estimate for the Area covering historical Palestine without experiencing discrepancies between various data.

Population-wise: It is not clear if the US' claim back in 2005 that Palestinian Arabs have exceeded the number of Israeli Jews in the land of Historical Palestine is still valid. The Numbers seem to be inflated on both sides.

The information was acquired, or calculated, based on data found on wikipedia.org, CIA World Fact Book plus other sources, assuming they're the most up-to-date:


Tel Aviv Area PA Territories Area, based on Oslo (Percentage from the West Bank excluding E. Jerusalem, total area 5,640 km2)
- City 51.4 km2
- Urban 176 km2
- Metro 1,516 km2

Appx. Population
- City 404,400
- Urban 1,284,400
- Metro 3,325,700
- Area A (2.7%) 152.2 km2
- Area B (25.1%) 1415.6 km2
- Area C (72.2%) 4,072 km2

Appx. Population
- West Bank (2010) Appx. 2,568,555 (not clear whether this number includes East Jerusalem Palestinians and according the CIA World Fact Book or if Israeli settlers were included, in which case this would bring the number down to 2,097,055 if Israeli settlers were excluded) or 1,714,845 (according to PCBS as of 2010) or 2,345,000 according to Jerusalem Post as of 2010)
Percentage of Tel Aviv Area based on Historic Palestine (total area of 26,920 km2) Percentage of PA Territories based on Historic Palestine (total area of 26,920 km2)
- City (Area A) 0.2%
- Urban (Area B) 0.65%
- Metro (Area C) 5.6%
- Area A (City) 0.56%
- Area B (Urban) 5.25%
- Area C (Metro) 15.1%

Saturday, September 3, 2011

15th Day: Facts the PA likes to deny (or) Palestinians control an area only 10% smaller than TLV


Orange is my country. Thanks Abbas! You done good. [map from here]
These are some of the actual De Facto percentages: 

Palestine's 1948 Areas (aka Israel): 77%-78% of Palestine (not including Jerusalem, 20,770 km2 of 26,920 km2) out of which Tel Aviv (TLV) metropolitan area alone is nearly 18% the size of the area; yet nearly 50% of Israel's 7.7 Million live! (close to 3.5 million residents!)

The size of the West Bank and Gaza is 22% (around 6,000 km2: WB= 5640 km2 + GS= 360 km2) the size of Historic Palestine. Palestinian Authority has control of only less than 2.7% of that (area A according to Oslo Accords), and a joint-control with Israel of nearly 25.1% (area B according to Oslo). The proposed state will not have access to nearly 97.3% of the remaining areas or most towns and villages plus all of the roads connecting any two Palestinian town and village plus all of the Jewish settlements.

The proposed state will be declared on 2,370 km2 of Historic Palestine's 26,920 km2. Slightly more than  in Tel Aviv Metropolitan Area, 3.9 million Palestinian Arabs reside in these small dis-fragmented localities! Israel will control all of the (2,370 km2)'s entrances and exists, will grant or deny passes to residents, and will be the entity to receive Palestinian taxes and distribute back the tax refunds to the PA, like it would treat any other municipality. 

The PALESTINIAN AUTHORITY "MUNICIPALITY" is the largest disfragmented Metropolitan Area in Israel! Compare: Tel Aviv Metropolitan Area: 1,516 km2, the PA "Metropolitan Territories": 2370 km2. The areas the PA may have control over in the West Bank and Gaza (1,668 km2, or areas A & B) are only about 10 percent larger than Tel Aviv Metropolitan area with the around the exact same number of residents!

YET!, the PA will officially be like a chain of territories, or small countries that literary control only 162 km2 of all of the West Bank, or around 0.59% of Historic Palestine. The area is less than 10% smaller than TLV urban areaShame on us. Shame on the PA. Shame on Yasser Arafat who delivered good on his promise to declare a state "even if only on one (1) inch of Historic Palestine".

Mahmoud Abbas, the Palestinian President, is merely the counterpart of any Israeli Mayor.

Historic Palestine is still vast and nearly empty! The Palestinian Arab refugees do have a lot of space left to move back to, their villages and towns which were ethnically cleansed can easily be repopulated or amalgamated into other already established Israeli municipalities in order to preserve historic sites and farmlands used for agriculture. 

Palestinians are very peaceful, even today after having been subject to Israel's violence which they faced for nearly 63 years, they are still willing to live in peace with Israelis in one bi-national country and not 2 racist countries. Just check out how many Palestinians apply for/ and acquire passes to go to "Israel" on vacations and how many workers jump the wall for work and come back in peace. 

Factually, we live in a single state but we are simply denied equal rights. What the PA and PLO have been doing since the peace initiative was started in the early 1990s was white-washing occupation and denying us the right to demand our equal rights! The PA has endorsed the idea of Bantustans when they signed Oslo, I will go as far as accusing them of fully knowing the consequences and knowing exactly what they were getting into unless they were complete invalids in which case (both cases actually) we should revolt against them. Hopefully sooner than the proposed state's date.

Thursday, September 1, 2011

17th Day: Hashtag Revolutions and the Patriotism of Rejecting Your Own "Statehood"

How patriotic would it be for a nation to overthrow their government within weeks, or even during the early years of statehood? Probably not patriotic at all. It would be recorded as an imminent failure to them and a mark that will forever stain their history of struggle and self-determination. I believe this could be a major drive behind the PA's insistence on gaining a seat in the UN as a State of Palestine after two weeks, which will suppress any opposition the PA may be facing with the wave of revolutions spreading across the Arab World. 

I remember back in high-school how I eagerly read about the Battle for Algiers and about the Algerian revolution. I remember how I watched the Arabic movie "Djamila Bouhired" with enthusiasm. I also remember how disappointing the Algerian history unraveled later on as Algeria was becoming a closed society and how terrorism and civil strife took the lives of tens of thousands if not more Algerians who were once viewed as a beacon of hope to all revolutionary nations. Yet, Algeria could not afford a second revolution. Typically it takes ages to forget about a revolution and start a new one. It comes once in a "modern" history. You either win it or you don't. Unless a second phase in your history comes that completely and fundamentally reshapes the country and that is when people forget about their first revolution and join a second with a new generation that rejects their parents decisions/ failures.

What I call the Hashtag revolutions (courtesy of Twitter's hashtags) are revolutions against all the mistakes committed by previous generations. The Hashtags have so far been widely used during post-modern revolutions, and were successful during a number of them: #Dec18 for Tunisia, #Jan25 for Egypt #Feb17 for Libya...etc. 

On the other end, Palestinians attempted so many of them, none were successful and none seem to be serving their purpose no matter how rightful their motivation sounds and how much justice it does serve. The reason? None of these Palestinian revolutions demand true justice which should be the rejection of the PA as an entity which does not serve the Palestinian national interests. 

There is a quite revolution going on, however, which has been extremely powerful and only growing in gaining international support. It is the Boycott, Divestment and Sanctions movement against Israel, or hashtag #BDS.

One of the many BDS campaigns is the Stop Funding Apartheid. Most of these campaigns are run from abroad successfully. The latest campaign shows a typical Palestinian woman who probably appeals to a Westernized eye. A woman who does not look European, yet modern and looks familiar enough to gain sympathy in a society that judges people based on their resemblance to it. Her face, if it only had a smile, would be a perfect face for a University campaign billboard on any US highway. So far, the campaign has gained numerous success. "I am not allowed on Israel's segregated roads". The sentence is down to the point and is strikingly clear about it: you are not allowed because Israel is an Apartheid. So what do I do to help this woman, and any one who is not allowed on Israel's roads? I'd have to stop funding Apartheid. This cannot get any simpler than that. Using the term segregation does not go as far away from the American mind-set as would the word Apartheid which brings back memories of the most recent Apartheid: South Africa. Segregation, however, brings back the American Blacks history of segregation and struggle for equality. Both words were used and the history of both nations is now presented to the readers telling them that "your history is repeating itself, don't allow it to happen again to us."

It is only a campaign such as this one that will be successful. This is a revolution. BDS hashtag is Palestine's post modern revolution which needs the entire World's support for it to be successful. It is also the only successful Palestinian movement that retains both our dignity, our rights and dismisses all claims for a two-state solution without being too straight-forward about it. Soon, the move should become more obvious about demanding equality and that is when their campaign should shift to Arabic and not only English. 

The only Arabic language attempt against a two state solution I've seen in Ramallah was quickly absorbed and was viciously attacked by everyone. It was in 2010 when a huge billboard that said: "Two state solution =  Failure. One State, Two people = Only Hope" was attacked with red paint and markers. A comment that was left on the billboard said "How dare you forget about the martyrs blood?". I could not help but assume it was a PA supporter who wrote the sentence blindly without giving a though to what the martyrs actually would have wanted and how much the PA served their memory. Still, I believe it was too early to present the new approach to Palestinians without previously preparing them to accept such a notice and building a strong ground to support it even amongst PA enthusiasts. 

The wording was horrible as well. The perfect time for a billboard like this woud have been September 13th, 2013, on the 20th anniversary of the failed Oslo Accords or more accurately termed Declaration of Principles on Interim Self-Government Arrangements. The billboard should have only been presented after years of mobilization and exposing lies and corruption by the PA. Exposing how much Oslo has failed us as Palestinians. And on September 13th, a billboard in Arabic that reads "On September 13th, 1993, the PLO signed Oslo, 20 years later how better off are you?" or a more creative approach such as a familiar-looking Palestinian 20-year old who declares: "I was born when Oslo was signed. 20 years later the West Bank shrunk by 60 percent, my family became poorer, and my rights have diminished" etc.

The new generation has to be dramatically far more self-aware and far more conscious about their national politics. They should also look far more different than their own government: In 2011 Egypt, those demonstrating out on the street were waves upon waves of impovrished and "sarcastic" individuals who looked nothing like their ultra-rich and "stern-faced" government. In 1979, the Iranian revolution changed an open and Westernized society into a conservative one that simply wanted to end the old ways and corruption into a revolution they believed was their only hope; in 2009, the youth attempted a revolution that was crushed and accused of working for a foreign agenda. It'll take probably another 30 years before Young Iranians who were not shot or killed and have no memory of their parents failed revolution in 2009, to attempt to change the system.

In Palestine, a UN bid will serve the following purposes: It will put a seal on a long Palestinian nationalist struggle for independence, thus ending the unofficial struggle with Israel. It will be almost like a CPR to elongate a seemingly short-life for the current PA. The PA will change from being the Palestinian Authority, to the Government of Palestine. A different name that serves the same purposes of protecting Israel and providing means for the Palestinian population to grow within their Israeli-imposed borders while still negotiating for an ever diminishing possibility to acquire the entire 1967 territories.

On the morning of September 20th, me and hundreds of thousands of  Palestinians will still not be allowed to drive on segregated roads that were made for Israelis by Israelis. We will still be going through checkpoints and we will still be at the mercy of teenaged soldiers who can stop us for any reason whatsoever as we drive through their check points. They will ask us for Hawiya-National ID. We will be too afraid to say "Sorry, this is our land and you have no right to ask us for our National ID", and if one was brave enough to do, he'll be left out as most of those other passengers inside a run-down bus between any two places in the West Bank will have a wedding to attend, a husband who waits at home, a sick mother, or food to be prepared. He will be persecuted and found guilty at Israeli Army courts. He will serve time in Israeli prison, and his name will merely make it to the data-base of the PA's Ministry of Detainees' Affairs, but the MOD will have no power to force Israel's occupation forces from freeing anyone. When was the last time the PA was capable of anything that was in disagreement with Israel after all? 

So, how patriotic would it be for a Palestinian to quickly reject a Palestinian state? Probably not patriotic at all. He'll have to wait for another 30 years before it becomes less shameful to overcome your pride and have little memory of the blood that was strained in a strife for independence. The PA recognizes this, and 30 years does sound like a lot of money to be generated from the donor community, despite the fact that the Palestinian citizens of the state will live under the mercy of their factual occupier.